Bank for International Settlements: Swap spreads are reflecting investors' concerns about excessive bond supply. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pointed out that huge government loans are having an impact on the global interest rate market, saying that investors have demanded higher premiums for buying sovereign bonds. In its quarterly report released on Tuesday, the agency pointed out that the swap spreads of various currencies and maturities have narrowed rapidly in recent months, which are "signs of possible oversupply". As investors are worried about huge debt and deficit expansion, the yields of government bonds in the euro zone and Japan have recently exceeded comparable swap rates. This leads to the so-called swap spread becoming negative. Because national debt is usually regarded as a safer investment than interest rate swap, it is unusual for the swap spread to enter the negative range. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the negative swap spread seems to reflect the pressure faced by investors and intermediaries because they need to absorb more government bonds in the near future. In the United States, the swap spreads for some maturities have been negative for many years.Dow Jones opened down 0.2%, S&P 500 rose 0.1%, Nasdaq rose 0.3%, Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell 7.8%, and Q2 revenue fell short of expectations. Data platform MongoDB fell 7.3%, CFO and COO will leave. Alaska Airlines rose 12.0% to buy back $1.1 billion in shares. Dada Group fell 2.5% and Mizuho lowered its target price to $3.50.Next year, the incremental funds will come from fund companies such as debt-based companies. Multi-assets and low volatility will become the key words for investment next year. According to the survey, many fund companies have recently made many layouts in new product issuance and continuous marketing of old products. Debt base is still an important force in the annual "scale war" of fund companies. The importance of ETF has increased this year, and some fund companies also regard it as the key to improve the scale ranking. For next year's business layout, ETF and fixed income are regarded as the business focus by many fund companies, especially ETF, and its development has become the consensus in the industry. In addition, multi-assets and low volatility have become the key words for investment next year. (CSI)
Kaitou Macro: Trump's influence on oil and gas may come from foreign policy. Kaitou macro economists said that President-elect Trump may influence the global oil and gas supply through foreign policy rather than domestic production or trade tariffs. "We doubt whether tariffs affecting the oil industry will be effective, and the impact will be limited in the short term," economists said. "At the same time, the decision to increase production will ultimately depend on private producers who have been strictly observing capital discipline since the outbreak." In terms of climate policy, Kaitou Macro said that the biggest threat will be to cancel the tax credit for electric vehicle buyers, which will put the promotion of this car in the United States at risk of further slowdown.OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al Ghais was re-elected. The next regular meeting of OPEC will be held on May 28th, 2025.The US military temporarily grounded the Osprey again. The US Marine Corps, Navy and Air Force confirmed to the media on December 9 that for security reasons, the US military has temporarily grounded the Osprey tilt-rotor transport aircraft again on a global scale. In the past five years, there have been frequent accidents of Osprey transport aircraft in various places, and the safety of Osprey has been questioned.
Sichuan continued to promote the supply and demand docking of enterprises in the field of industrial informatization, with a cumulative signing amount of 38 billion yuan. The supply and demand docking activity of a new generation of information technology industry in Sichuan Province was held in Chengdu on the 10th. Zhai Gang, director of the Department of Economy and Information Technology of Sichuan Province, said at this event that since September this year, Sichuan has held nine consecutive supply-demand docking activities of "expanding the market and growing steadily" in Sichuan Province, which has promoted the establishment of long-term cooperative relations between the supply and demand sides of enterprises in Sichuan's industrial and information fields, and has contributed to a number of cooperation results and procurement transactions. At present, the accumulated contracted amount has reached 38 billion yuan. (Zhongxin. com)U.S. aviation stocks rose, while U.S. aviation stocks rose. Alaska Airlines (ALK.N) rose by 12%, American Airlines (AAL.O) rose by 3.8% and Boeing (BA.N) rose by about 3.1%. The Airline Association predicted that the overall profit and operating income of the industry would increase slightly in 2025.Delong Laser: There is no robot-related business at present. Delong Laser said on the interactive platform that the company has no robot-related business at present. The company's products use machine vision technology to realize functions including positioning, defect handling and size detection.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide